Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.172297 0.196763 0.224060 0.256882 0.295416 0.339390 0.393609
2025-12-07 0.131407 0.163041 0.201926 0.253704 0.321535 0.408339 0.529389
2025-12-14 0.109241 0.143836 0.189454 0.254986 0.348325 0.478992 0.680280
2025-12-21 0.093971 0.129590 0.179226 0.255000 0.370563 0.544944 0.837491
2025-12-28 0.084458 0.121178 0.174845 0.261260 0.401334 0.627605 1.038512
2026-01-04 0.076403 0.113405 0.169755 0.264824 0.427498 0.706955 1.252929
2026-01-11 0.069931 0.106984 0.165529 0.268574 0.453889 0.791066 1.497276
2026-01-18 0.065168 0.102536 0.163648 0.275595 0.486740 0.892949 1.804367
2026-01-25 0.060070 0.096855 0.158857 0.276528 0.508138 0.976868 2.097662
2026-02-01 0.055473 0.091454 0.153793 0.276030 0.526374 1.057809 2.408517
2026-02-08 0.051109 0.085961 0.147863 0.272905 0.538519 1.127999 2.715247
2026-02-15 0.047194 0.080848 0.142013 0.269027 0.548244 1.194626 3.034670
2026-02-22 0.044951 0.078616 0.141410 0.275983 0.583731 1.332050 3.607286
2026-03-01 0.041616 0.074029 0.135794 0.271674 0.592855 1.407060 4.027130
2026-03-08 0.039232 0.071016 0.132936 0.272911 0.615446 1.522989 4.627418
2026-03-15 0.036962 0.068003 0.129734 0.272898 0.634958 1.635746 5.269265
2026-03-22 0.035533 0.066515 0.129503 0.279667 0.673257 1.813073 6.236360
2026-03-29 0.033964 0.064592 0.128133 0.283524 0.704624 1.978875 7.250211
2026-04-05 0.032538 0.062831 0.126919 0.287583 0.737461 2.159484 8.434311
2026-04-12 0.031487 0.061759 0.127104 0.295186 0.782215 2.394296 10.019247
2026-04-19 0.030038 0.059706 0.124860 0.296196 0.807603 2.570199 11.439816
2026-04-26 0.028598 0.057552 0.122168 0.295656 0.828226 2.736046 12.931682
2026-05-03 0.027088 0.055124 0.118603 0.292272 0.839214 2.869419 14.346440